- The Phillies are -165 favorites vs the Mets
- Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Mets TV Channel: NSPA | WPIX
The Philadelphia Phillies (-165) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+135) on June 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.
Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 7-1, 2.12 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 3-6, 6.12 ERA
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -105 | -165 |
| Mets | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -115 | +135 |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+6.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+6.20 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+15.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.40 Units / 71% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 22 games at home (+1.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +200 |
| Juan Soto | +250 |
| Bryce Harper | +340 |
| Francisco Lindor | +375 |
| Edmundo Sosa | +425 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Derek Hill | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 19-7 (.731) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (25th in runs scored).
The Phillies are 5-33 (.132) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Phillies are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Phillies are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .941.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 16-30 (.348) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Mets are just 30-41 (.423) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Mets are just 5-19 (.208) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Mets are 17-6 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting just .218 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,639 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging .740 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .450 (1,639 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .594 (926 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .675 (3,019 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Mets have scored 0.89 runs per game (72/81) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mets have scored 72 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (1,996 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 43 double plays in 573 opportunities (7%) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% in late innings this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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