Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 18

New York Mets' Juan Soto (22) tosses his bat as he runs the bases after hitting a two-run home run during the third inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Wednesday, June 11, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
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  • The Phillies are +100 favorites vs the Mets
  • Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Phillies / Mets TV Channel: ATV

The Philadelphia Phillies (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on September 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Phillies are 85-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 68-83 ATS.

Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Zac Thornton 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +165O 8.5 -110+100
Mets +1.5 -200U 8.5 -110-120

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 25 away games (+22.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+14.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+13.00 Units / 217% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+5.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+15.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 65-87 against the Run Line (-28.2 Units / -15.6% ROI).

  • 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -1.55% ROI
  • 70-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -7.3% ROI
  • 75-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -0.92% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 68-83 against the Run Line (-20.2 Units / -10.51% ROI).

  • 69-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.45 Units / -15.65% ROI
  • 69-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -5.98% ROI
  • 71-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -2.99% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-52 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-59 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 53-36 (.596) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 34-44 (.436) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 47-7 (.870) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (2,942 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .309 (3,942 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,942 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies have scored first in 60% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .228 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .488 (3,043 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 148 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .305 (2,875 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 494.7 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.