• The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Phillies
• Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Phillies / Mets TV Channel: NSPA | SNY

The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-125) on September 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Phillies are 85-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 69-83 ATS.

Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 3-9, 5.55 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 4-5, 3.79 ERA

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 25 away games (+22.20 Units / 49% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Justin Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Scott has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+12.00 Units / 171% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• Christian Scott has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+15.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+4.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 65-88 against the Run Line (-30.15 Units / -16.5% ROI).

• 85-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -1.97% ROI
• 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -6.66% ROI
• 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.57% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 69-83 against the Run Line (-18.55 Units / -9.6% ROI).

• 70-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.45 Units / -15.02% ROI
• 70-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -5.36% ROI
• 71-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -3.63% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-53 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 54-36 (.600) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 35-44 (.443) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 48-7 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Mets are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are just 8-27 (-54.3% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (2,977 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are just 11-24 (.314) against the run line (-51.6% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,977 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .487 (3,062 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting .252 on changeups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .309 (5,797 PA’s) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,731 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,075 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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