• The Phillies are -170 favorites vs the Mets
• Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Phillies / Mets TV Channel: NSPA | WPIX

The Philadelphia Phillies (-170) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+140) on September 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Phillies are 85-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 70-83 ATS.

Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 17-6, 2.93 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Jonah Tong 2-1, 3.43 ERA

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 25 away games (+22.20 Units / 48% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.90 Units / 186% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+7.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 65-89 against the Run Line (-32.1 Units / -17.38% ROI).

• 85-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -2.39% ROI
• 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -6.03% ROI
• 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -2.2% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 70-83 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -8.7% ROI).

• 71-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.45 Units / -14.39% ROI
• 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -4.74% ROI
• 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -4.26% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-54 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 11-59 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 55-36 (.604) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 36-44 (.450) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .228 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .487 (3,112 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.175 (1,078 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .676 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .310 (5,839 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 150 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .688 (2,956 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .379 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,080 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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