• The Phillies are -102 favorites vs the Nationals
• Phillies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Phillies / Nationals TV Channel: NSPA | NATV

The Philadelphia Phillies (-102) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-118) on June 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Phillies are 42-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 49-28 ATS.

Phillies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 6-4, 4.21 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 7-2, 3.32 ERA

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 59% ROI)
• Derek Hill has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+12.00 Units / 133% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+14.40 Units / 360% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 53% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Tena has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.70 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+18.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 29-47 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -23.18% ROI).

• 42-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.05% ROI
• 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -12.77% ROI
• 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 4.85% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 49-28 against the Run Line (+13.55 Units / 12.35% ROI).

• 40-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 14.3% ROI
• 47-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.6 Units / 19.35% ROI
• 28-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.45 Units / -27.32% ROI

Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.

The Phillies are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Phillies are 20-7 (.741) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .643.

The Phillies are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals are just 16-22 (.421) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Nationals are just 31-8 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Nationals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Nationals are 34-7 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .622 (880 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,305 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .209 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .621 (1,305 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .799 (821 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .204 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .555 (1,568 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (1,903 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,903 balls in play) — best in MLB

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.