- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Phillies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Nationals TV Channel: NSPA | NATV
The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on June 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.
This season, the Phillies are 42-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 50-28 ATS.
Phillies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 6-4, 4.21 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 6-6, 5.48 ERA
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -102 | -175 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -118 | +145 |
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+14.40 Units / 360% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+14.40 Units / 144% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 45 games (+19.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+16.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+16.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+13.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 29-48 against the Run Line (-22.5 Units / -24.74% ROI).
- 42-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -2.91% ROI
- 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -13.89% ROI
- 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 5.96% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 50-28 against the Run Line (+15.15 Units / 13.68% ROI).
- 41-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 15.3% ROI
- 47-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.5 Units / 17.84% ROI
- 29-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.45 Units / -25.82% ROI
Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +165 |
| Dylan Crews | +475 |
| Trea Turner | +550 |
| J.T. Realmuto | +550 |
| Curtis Mead | +625 |
Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Nasim Nunez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gabriel Rincones | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies are just 3-16 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Phillies are 33-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Phillies are 20-7 (.741) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
The Phillies are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .755.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals are 35-7 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Nationals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Nationals are just 17-22 (.436) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 32-8 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting just .207 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .271 (1,337 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,571 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .620 (890 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .279 (366 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
The Nationals have scored 1.91 runs per game (151/79) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .800 (827 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (1,931 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.03 (358.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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