• The Phillies are -220 favorites vs the Nationals
• Phillies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Phillies / Nationals TV Channel: NSPA | NATV

The Philadelphia Phillies (-220) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+180) on September 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Phillies are 83-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 84-65 ATS.

Phillies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 17-5, 2.78 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Jackson Kent 1-4, 6.51 ERA

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 25 away games (+22.20 Units / 48% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+14.80 Units / 148% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.95 Units / 54% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jacob Young has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 54% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 63-86 against the Run Line (-28.9 Units / -16.38% ROI).

• 83-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -1.56% ROI
• 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -6.72% ROI
• 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -1.49% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 84-65 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 3.1% ROI).

• 70-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -0.76% ROI
• 79-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 5.57% ROI
• 64-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.55 Units / -13.57% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies are 15-52 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-58 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 11-56 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 19-45 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals are just 34-26 (.567) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 1-70 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 56-19 (.747) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 2-61 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .308 (3,875 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .367 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .664 (2,825 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies have scored first in 59% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters have 342 extra-base hits out of 881 total hits (39%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .549 (3,040 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .750 (5,798 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .288 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.08 (693.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 1.89 runs per game (285/151) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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