• The Pirates are -145 favorites vs the Phillies
• Phillies vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Phillies / Pirates TV Channel: NSPA | SNPT

The Philadelphia Phillies (+118) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-145) on May 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Phillies are 23-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 24-21 ATS.

Phillies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 2-0, 2.56 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-2, 1.98 ERA

Phillies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Justin Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+18.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 63% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.25 Units / 114% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Spencer Horwitz has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.65 Units / 59% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 44% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 14-32 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -39.15% ROI).

• 23-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -10.13% ROI
• 23-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI
• 21-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -7.94% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 24-21 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 5.35% ROI).

• 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -4.58% ROI
• 25-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 5.07% ROI
• 20-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -14.51% ROI

Pirates vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Phillies are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Phillies are 12-3 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .633.

The Phillies are 21-67 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

The Phillies are 84-6 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .873.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Pirates are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Pirates are 22-3 (.880) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Pirates are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Pirates are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .220 (922 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .281 (842 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .454 (117 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .437 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 550 of their 1,817 plate appearances (30%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .278 at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 113 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 37 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .225 against Pirates pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Pirates pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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