• The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Reds
• Phillies vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Phillies / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+145) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 8-1, 2.36 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 5-4, 3.92 ERA

Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.80 Units / 211% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 51% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+10.20 Units / 146% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are 5-38 (.116) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .782.

The Phillies are just 5-18 (.217) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .366.

The Phillies are 11-36 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are 5-41 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Reds are just 5-26 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .222 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .224 (1,851 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,692 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.259 (610 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .205 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .219 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .152 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .459 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (2,195 batted balls) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.76 (217.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.