• The Phillies are -220 favorites vs the Royals
• Phillies vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Phillies / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-220) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+180) on July 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are ATS.

Phillies vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 10-3, 2.00 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 4-6, 4.89 ERA

Phillies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Royals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.80 Units / 263% ROI)
• Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.50 Units / 66% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+10.20 Units / 170% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 87% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 36% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .784.

The Phillies are 11-35 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Phillies are 5-37 (.119) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Phillies are 35-3 (.921) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Royals are just 3-33 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Royals are just 28-6 (.824) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Royals are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Royals are just 33-44 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .220 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .757 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,359 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .224 (1,826 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters are slugging just .357 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .459 (1,736 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .235 (1,736 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (2,205 balls in play) — best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have picked-off 14 runners from first base this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 4.84 (794.2 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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