- The Tigers are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-130) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Phillies are 51-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 42-45 ATS.
Phillies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 3-6, 5.90 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 2-8, 4.58 ERA
Phillies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -130 | -130 |
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Nola has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+7.40 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 35-57 against the Run Line (-27.2 Units / -25.05% ROI).
- 51-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.58% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -13.44% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 5.34% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 42-45 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -4.96% ROI).
- 42-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -13% ROI
- 40-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -12.54% ROI
- 48-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 4.42% ROI
Tigers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +210 |
| Kerry Carpenter | +300 |
| Riley Greene | +310 |
| Bryce Harper | +310 |
| Dillon Dingler | +390 |
Tigers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Colt Keith | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gabriel Rincones | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Phillies are 11-37 (.229) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Phillies are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers are just 35-13 (.729) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Tigers are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 34-9 (.791) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Tigers are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .226 (1,920 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,805 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging .746 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Tigers have a winning percentage of just 37% on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Tigers have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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