• The Pirates are -105 favorites vs the Astros
• Pirates vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Pirates / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on June 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Pirates are 32-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 28-33 ATS.

Pirates vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 1-6, 4.82 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 3-6, 5.40 ERA

Pirates vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Spencer Horwitz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+19.30 Units / 241% ROI)
• Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.60 Units / 60% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jared Triolo has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+20.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+13.20 Units / 66% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.05 Units / 53% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 away games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 76% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 30-29 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 2.99% ROI).

• 32-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -2.5% ROI
• 33-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 7.96% ROI
• 25-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -16.67% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 28-33 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -13.47% ROI).

• 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -10.9% ROI
• 33-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 8.4% ROI
• 24-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -18.24% ROI

Astros vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Pirates are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Pirates are 28-3 (.903) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Pirates are just 10-75 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Pirates are just 16-101 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Astros are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Astros are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Astros are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .946.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting .322 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 151 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .276 at home this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters are slugging .436 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .424 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .332 (1,242 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,064 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .280 (546 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Pirates pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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