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- Pirates vs Mets Over / Under today: Not Found Runs
- Pirates / Mets TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
The Pittsburgh Pirates (Not Found) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (Not Found) on March 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15 pm in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Pirates are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 0-0 ATS.
Pirates vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Pirates vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | Not Found Not Found | O Not Found Not Found | Not Found |
| Mets | Not Found Not Found | U Not Found Not Found | Not Found |
Pirates vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+17.40 Units / 249% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Paul Skenes has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+15.60 Units / 223% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+15.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+14.65 Units / 98% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 98 of their last 161 games (+28.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+11.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+15.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games at home (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+5.94 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+2.70 Units / 2% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mets vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcell Ozuna (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Luis Robert (NYM) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Mets vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcell Ozuna (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luis Robert (NYM) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Marcus Semien (NYM) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mets vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (NYM) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Pirates were just 27-54 (.333) on the road in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.
The Pirates are just 14-87 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Pirates were just 14-39 (.264) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Mets (18th in runs allowed).
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets were 29-24 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Pirates (30th in runs scored).
The Mets are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates batted just .121 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .596 (1,843 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.
Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Mets hitters slugged .445 against RHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Pirates won just 13% of the time last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games at home last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers allowed an OBP of .335 (1,435 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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