• The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Rangers
• Rangers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Rangers / Guardians TV Channel: ESPN

The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Rangers are 42-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 40-43 ATS.

Rangers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 1-1, 2.65 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Parker Messick 7-4, 2.70 ERA

Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rangers vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Jung has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+18.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 52% ROI)
• Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 42% ROI)
• Justin Foscue has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
• Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 43% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.35 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.40 Units / 61% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 38-43 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -6.88% ROI).

• 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -4.56% ROI
• 38-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -6.34% ROI
• 40-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.25% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 40-43 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -5.57% ROI).

• 44-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 3.74% ROI
• 40-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -8.66% ROI
• 44-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.48% ROI

Guardians vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rangers are just 2-38 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Rangers are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Rangers are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Rangers are 21-5 (.808) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Guardians are just 2-30 (.062) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Guardians are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Guardians are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Guardians are 48-7 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rangers are batting just .232 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting .252 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .211 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .218 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .274 (363 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .199 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .676 (3,136 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 489.7 feet — — 5th longest in MLB

Rangers pitchers have 137 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 32% against the Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.73 (171.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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