• The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Astros
• Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rays / Astros TV Channel: ATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-110) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rays are 51-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 43-46 ATS.

Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 7-2, 2.67 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 7-4, 4.04 ERA

Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+17.80 Units / 356% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 46% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Taylor Trammell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+16.40 Units / 234% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+13.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 50-34 against the Run Line (+22.15 Units / 21.6% ROI).

• 51-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.7 Units / 12.1% ROI
• 37-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.15% ROI
• 43-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.99% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 43-46 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.87% ROI).

• 43-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.12% ROI
• 47-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 5.34% ROI
• 37-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -14.91% ROI

Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rays are 34-16 (.680) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Rays are 9-26 (.257) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Rays are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rays are 43-10 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Astros are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Astros are 32-2 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Astros are 19-10 (.655) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .206 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .283 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 213 extra-base hits out of 733 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

The Astros are batting just .233 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 124 total hits (46%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros have scored first in just 32% of their games against division opponents this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .273 (754 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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