• The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Astros
• Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rays / Astros TV Channel: PEAC | NBCX

The Tampa Bay Rays (-120) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rays are 52-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 44-47 ATS.

Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Griffin Jax 4-5, 3.43 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 6-5, 3.53 ERA

Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+19.70 Units / 219% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 60% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)
• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Taylor Trammell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.40 Units / 160% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.10 Units / 40% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+14.30 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 58% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 51-35 against the Run Line (+22.65 Units / 21.66% ROI).

• 52-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 11.81% ROI
• 38-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -10.99% ROI
• 44-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.95% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 44-47 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -8.24% ROI).

• 44-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -5.11% ROI
• 48-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 5.12% ROI
• 38-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -14.6% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rays are 9-26 (.257) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Rays are 19-4 (.826) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Rays are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Rays are 52-34 (.605) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Astros are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 18-25 (.419) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Astros are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Astros are 32-2 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have 219 extra-base hits out of 747 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rays are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .279 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have 59 extra-base hits out of 126 total hits (47%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Astros have scored first in just 32% of their games against division opponents this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have 108 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 4.79 (806.1 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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