Rays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 23

(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
World Series Betting Promos
  • The Brewers are -190 favorites vs the Rays
  • Rays vs Brewers Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
  • Rays / Brewers TV Channel: FOX

The Tampa Bay Rays (+155) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-190) on October 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Rays are 105-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 90-80 ATS.

Rays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 16-6, 3.11 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 16-5, 1.86 ERA

Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -150O 6.5 -110+155
Brewers -1.5 +125U 6.5 -110-190

Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Fortes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+14.80 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+28.00 Units / 280% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Joey Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.15 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+19.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 91-77 against the Run Line (+24.25 Units / 11.68% ROI).

  • 105-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.3 Units / 11.84% ROI
  • 78-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -8.72% ROI
  • 86-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.13% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 90-80 against the Run Line (+21.25 Units / 10.85% ROI).

  • 110-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.1 Units / 11.64% ROI
  • 76-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.05 Units / -10.74% ROI
  • 88-76 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 2.4% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rays were 38-52 (.422) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2026 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays were 39-6 (.867) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2026 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays were 13-51 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2026 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays were 63-35 (.643) after a win in the 2026 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Brewers were 13-45 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers were 17-3 (.850) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers were 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2026 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers were 55-26 (.679) at home in the 2026 season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays hitters slugged .281 on pitches out of the zone in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Rays batted .203 on pitches out of the zone in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Rays batted .266 with two outs in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters missed on just 21% of swings in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters had an OBP of .346 (4,374 PA’s) against RHP in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers batted .403 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,866 of their 6,299 plate appearances (30%) in the 2026 season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters had an OBP of .341 (6,299 PA’s) in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% in the 2026 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers allowed three-ball counts to 17% of batters they faced (1,002/5,939 PA’s) in the 2026 season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2026 season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2026 season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Brewers pitchers in the 2026 season traveled 523.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Brewers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.