• The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Rays / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Rays are 17-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 15-15 ATS.

Rays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 1-1, 2.10 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 0-3, 4.45 ERA

Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.10 Units / 252% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 60% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+15.00 Units / 150% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Richie Palacios has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 away games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 17-11 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 17.22% ROI).

• 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 18.92% ROI
• 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 15.82% ROI
• 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -25.69% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 15-15 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -1.98% ROI).

• 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.89% ROI
• 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -3.93% ROI
• 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -4.52% ROI

Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rays are 14-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Rays are 13-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Rays are 13-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .850.

The Rays are just 76-11 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Guardians are 38-4 (.884) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

The Guardians are 75-6 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Guardians are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Guardians are 59-10 (.843) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this month (23 games) — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters have struck out in 35% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have struck out in 32% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .227 since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this month (23 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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