Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 25

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  • The Rays are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
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The Tampa Bay Rays (-130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on May 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rays are 34-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 23-30 ATS.

Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 5-2, 2.84 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 2-6, 4.13 ERA

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +135O 7.5 -105-130
Orioles +1.5 -160U 7.5 -115+105

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-19 against the Run Line (+15.55 Units / 24.47% ROI).

  • 34-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.35 Units / 33.83% ROI
  • 24-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.56% ROI
  • 23-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -9.18% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 23-30 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -13.15% ROI).

  • 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -17.22% ROI
  • 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 10.12% ROI
  • 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -19.41% ROI

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +250
Pete Alonso +325
Tyler O'Neill +360
Jonathan Aranda +400
Gunnar Henderson +425

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Taylor Ward 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Blaze Alexander 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Taylor Ward 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Hunter Feduccia 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Weston Wilson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 7-11 (.389) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Rays are 8-1 (.889) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Orioles (29th runs allowed).

The Rays are 28-3 (.903) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Rays are 5-12 (.294) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 3-12 (.200) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (ninth in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 5-25 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Orioles are 7-2 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Orioles are just 21-54 (.280) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

Rays hitters are slugging .296 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .213 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .267 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .152 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .211 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .145 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (450.2 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 7.45 (110.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (221.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 6.04 runs per game (157/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 62 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.