• The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
• Rays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on September 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rays are 96-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-91 ATS.

Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 9-11, 4.60 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 18-6, 2.92 ERA

Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Freddy Peralta has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 71% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+8.50 Units / 142% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+3.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 28% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 82-74 against the Run Line (+16.5 Units / 8.63% ROI).

• 96-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.9 Units / 9.58% ROI
• 72-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.8 Units / -9.63% ROI
• 81-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 0.85% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 67-91 against the Run Line (-32.1 Units / -16.95% ROI).

• 87-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -2.49% ROI
• 74-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -5.99% ROI
• 77-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -2.26% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rays are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 13-50 (.206) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 47-19 (.712) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (15th in runs scored).

The Rays are 94-51 (.648) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Phillies are 15-55 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-63 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .194 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .440 in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .263 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .486 (3,188 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (3,059 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .364 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 17% of batters they faced (978/5,828 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,845 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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