• The Phillies are -160 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
• Rays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on September 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rays are 98-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-93 ATS.

Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 15-5, 2.96 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 13-5, 3.08 ERA

Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Richie Palacios has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+24.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+15.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+13.55 Units / 79% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 78% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 72% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 68% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.50 Units / 46% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+1.05 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 84-74 against the Run Line (+18.5 Units / 9.49% ROI).

• 98-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.4 Units / 10.68% ROI
• 73-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.9 Units / -9.57% ROI
• 82-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 0.73% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 67-93 against the Run Line (-34.1 Units / -17.82% ROI).

• 87-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -3.69% ROI
• 75-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -5.98% ROI
• 78-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -2.34% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rays are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 13-50 (.206) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 38-51 (.427) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 47-19 (.712) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (18th in runs scored).

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Phillies are 15-57 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-65 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are just 12-31 (.279) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are 11-62 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .193 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .266 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .261 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (3,059 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .488 (3,232 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .364 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 134 extra-base hits out of 282 total hits (47%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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