• The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Rays / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | tru | HBOM

The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on October 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Rays are 100-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 85-79 ATS.

Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 15-6, 3.11 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 6-5, 2.77 ERA

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+15.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.95 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• George Lombard Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+20.50 Units / 205% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.19 Units / 88% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+19.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+15.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 85-76 against the Run Line (+17.1 Units / 8.6% ROI).

• 100-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.45 Units / 11% ROI
• 75-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -8.89% ROI
• 83-75 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.06% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 85-79 against the Run Line (+17.85 Units / 9.46% ROI).

• 95-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -1.05% ROI
• 79-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -5.82% ROI
• 81-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -3.12% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 39-6 (.867) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 83-20 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 38-52 (.422) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 13-51 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 55-8 (.873) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 39-4 (.907) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 61-6 (.910) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 34-11 (.756) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .266 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .192 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 149 extra-base hits out of 587 total hits (just 25%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,922 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .229 (3,282 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 17% of batters they faced (1,002/5,939 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (716.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.44 runs per game (279/81) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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