Reds vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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  • The Brewers are -165 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Reds / Brewers TV Channel: ESPN

The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-165) on July 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Reds are 39-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 47-36 ATS.

Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 5-4, 3.93 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 3-2, 3.12 ERA

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -155O 9 -115+135
Brewers -1.5 +125U 9 -105-165

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+19.45 Units / 195% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+8.90 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Blake Perkins has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 away games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+3.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+15.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 46-37 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -1.78% ROI).

  • 39-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -6.39% ROI
  • 49-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.35 Units / 12.19% ROI
  • 34-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.4 Units / -21.14% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 47-36 against the Run Line (+17.3 Units / 17.73% ROI).

  • 52-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 37-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -12.4% ROI
  • 44-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 3.89% ROI

Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Gary Sanchez +270
Jackson Chourio +270
William Contreras +325
Eugenio Suarez +325
Sal Stewart +340

Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Sal Stewart 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Brice Turang 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt McLain 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Noelvi Marte 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
JJ Bleday 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Sal Stewart 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Spencer Steer 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are 5-38 (.116) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Reds are just 6-17 (.261) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Brewers (second in runs allowed).

The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers are 8-22 (.267) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Brewers are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Brewers are 35-16 (.686) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Brewers are 39-5 (.886) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .217 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .205 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .212 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .399 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are 8-22 (.267) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Brewers hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (2,076 batted balls) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.98 (200.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.