Reds vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 25

New York Mets' Francisco Lindor scores on a single hit by Francisco Alvarez during the first inning of a baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds Sunday, April 7, 2024, in Cincinnati.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
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  • The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Reds / Mets TV Channel: RDTV | SNY

The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-160) on May 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Reds are 27-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 19-33 ATS.

Reds vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 0-1, 7.21 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 2-3, 3.55 ERA

Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -165O 7.5 -110+135
Mets -1.5 +135U 7.5 -110-160

Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Mets and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.37 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-20 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 6.86% ROI).

  • 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 2.36% ROI
  • 32-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.85 Units / 18.85% ROI
  • 19-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -28.32% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-33 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -19.27% ROI).

  • 22-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.15 Units / -28.28% ROI
  • 21-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -15.78% ROI
  • 28-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 6.31% ROI

Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto +350
Mark Vientos +380
Eugenio Suarez +390
JJ Bleday +425
Sal Stewart +450

Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Mark Vientos 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Sal Stewart 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Juan Soto 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mark Vientos 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Spencer Steer 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Sal Stewart 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brett Baty 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Nick Morabito 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Reds are just 0-6 (.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Reds are 7-2 (.778) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (24th in runs scored).

The Reds are 22-4 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Mets are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Mets are just 10-20 (.333) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Mets are just 20-28 (.417) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Mets are just 1-95 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Reds are batting just .193 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .215 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .534 (455 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .346 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .640 (1,440 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .601 (613 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.60 (106.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 4.79 (88.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.