- The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Mets TV Channel: RDTV | SNY
The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-160) on May 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Reds are 27-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 19-33 ATS.
Reds vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 0-1, 7.21 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 2-3, 3.55 ERA
Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -110 | +135 |
| Mets | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -110 | -160 |
Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.37 Units / 45% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mets Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-20 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 6.86% ROI).
- 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 2.36% ROI
- 32-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.85 Units / 18.85% ROI
- 19-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -28.32% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-33 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -19.27% ROI).
- 22-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.15 Units / -28.28% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -15.78% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 6.31% ROI
Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | +350 |
| Mark Vientos | +380 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +390 |
| JJ Bleday | +425 |
| Sal Stewart | +450 |
Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Morabito | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Reds are just 0-6 (.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Reds are 7-2 (.778) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (24th in runs scored).
The Reds are 22-4 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mets are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Mets are just 10-20 (.333) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Mets are just 20-28 (.417) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Mets are just 1-95 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .193 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .215 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .534 (455 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters are slugging just .346 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .640 (1,440 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .601 (613 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.60 (106.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 4.79 (88.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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