Reds vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez hits a double against the Detroit Tigers during the third inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader, Thursday, April 4, 2024, in New York. New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez hits a double against the Detroit Tigers during the third inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader, Thursday, April 4, 2024, in New York.
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
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  • The Reds are +100 favorites vs the Mets
  • Reds vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Reds / Mets TV Channel: RDTV | SNY

The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on May 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Reds are 29-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 19-35 ATS.

Reds vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 4-2, 4.02 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Huascar Brazoban 3-1, 1.71 ERA

Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds-1.5 +165O 8 -105+100
Mets +1.5 -200U 8 -115-120

Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+13.80 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.27 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games (+20.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.80 Units / 8% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 33-20 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 9.77% ROI).

  • 29-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 5.78% ROI
  • 34-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.85 Units / 21.51% ROI
  • 19-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.3 Units / -30.99% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-35 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -25.24% ROI).

  • 22-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.55 Units / -31.55% ROI
  • 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -13.44% ROI
  • 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 3.98% ROI

Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto +310
Eugenio Suarez +360
Mark Vientos +390
Sal Stewart +400
JJ Bleday +425

Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Juan Soto 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Mark Vientos 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Sal Stewart 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Eric Wagaman 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Abbott 4.5 +105 4.5 -140

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Reds are just 0-6 (.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 9-2 (.818) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (26th in runs scored).

The Reds are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Reds are 24-4 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Mets are just 20-30 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Mets are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Mets are just 10-22 (.312) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Mets are just 11-15 (.423) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Reds are batting just .199 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 10-1 (.909) against the run line (62.5% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (26th in runs scored).

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,474 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .594 (635 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .641 (2,045 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,040 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 30 double plays in 379 opportunities (8%) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.