• The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Reds
• Reds vs Phillies Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Reds / Phillies TV Channel: WXIX | RDTV | NSPA

The Cincinnati Reds (+105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-125) on May 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Reds are 24-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 15-32 ATS.

Reds vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 0-1, 8.69 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-4, 6.22 ERA

Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+17.00 Units / 340% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.80 Units / 50% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+16.05 Units / 161% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+3.15 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 27-19 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 4.32% ROI).

• 24-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 30-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.2 Units / 23.46% ROI
• 16-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -32.88% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 15-32 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -35.92% ROI).

• 24-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -8.38% ROI
• 23-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -2.03% ROI
• 22-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -5.82% ROI

Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are 20-4 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Reds are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Reds are just 12-50 (.194) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Reds are just 11-69 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Phillies are 16-1 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Phillies are 12-3 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

The Phillies are 6-22 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .198 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .206 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 72 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .217 (943 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .282 (880 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .216 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .454 (943 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.67 (86.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 24 double plays in 380 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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