Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 20

Philadelphia Phillies' Kyle Schwarber gestures at home plate after scoring on an RBI single by Nick Castellanos in the first inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Saturday, June 21, 2025, in Philadelphia.
(AP Photo/Laurence Kesterson)
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  • The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Reds
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The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on May 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Reds are 25-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 15-34 ATS.

Reds vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 3-2, 4.27 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 2-3, 5.96 ERA

Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -160O 10 -105+120
Phillies -1.5 +135U 10 -115-145

Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Otto Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+4.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 29-19 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 6.88% ROI).

  • 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.36% ROI
  • 30-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +10 Units / 18.45% ROI
  • 18-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -27.8% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 15-34 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -38.14% ROI).

  • 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -8.63% ROI
  • 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -6.01% ROI
  • 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.86% ROI

Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +175
Bryce Harper +270
JJ Bleday +280
Elly De La Cruz +300
William Benson +310

Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sal Stewart 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Bryce Harper 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Spencer Steer 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alec Bohm 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt McLain 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Spencer Steer 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Nathaniel Lowe 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are 21-4 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Reds are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Reds are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Reds are just 11-70 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Phillies are 13-3 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Phillies are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Phillies are 21-68 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Reds are batting just .215 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .137 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .216 (979 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,849 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .216 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.