• The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Reds
• Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Reds / Pirates TV Channel: FS1 | RDTV | SNPT

The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on May 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 20-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 18-15 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 3-1, 3.15 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 1-2, 4.13 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+19.30 Units / 276% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+22.25 Units / 89% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+13.80 Units / 197% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.45 Units / 57% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 20-12 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 9.07% ROI).

• 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 22.83% ROI
• 20-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 22.44% ROI
• 11-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -31.25% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 18-15 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 5.59% ROI).

• 17-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -5.94% ROI
• 19-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 9.47% ROI
• 14-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -19.09% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are 3-12 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Reds are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Reds are 20-12 (.625) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 8-1 (.889) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Pirates are just 8-41 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Pirates are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Pirates are just 7-63 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .149 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .190 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .387 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .600 (2,229 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 44% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 18 extra-base hits out of 80 total hits (just 23%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting just .224 against LHP since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (908.0 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 26 home runs this season — fewest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .346 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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