• The Reds are +100 favorites vs the Pirates
• Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Reds / Pirates TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) on May 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 20-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 19-15 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 3-1, 2.65 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 1-2, 3.67 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+18.30 Units / 229% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+21.45 Units / 86% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.80 Units / 160% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 53% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 45% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.45 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+2.95 Units / 10% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 20-13 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 5.17% ROI).

• 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 19.54% ROI
• 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.9 Units / 24.48% ROI
• 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.05 Units / -33.24% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 19-15 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI).

• 18-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -3.45% ROI
• 20-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 11.84% ROI
• 14-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -21.37% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are 3-13 (.188) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Reds are 16-1 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .853.

The Reds are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .147.

The Reds are 10-5 (.667) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Pirates are just 8-51 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Pirates are just 1-92 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Pirates are just 5-88 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .198 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .284 (553 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .185 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .603 (2,240 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .622 (3,619 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 37% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .348 against LHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 8.79 (43.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 9.00 (52.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.