Reds vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton celebrates towards the dugout after hitting a single that scores two runs against the Athletics during the sixth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 3, 2025, in West Sacramento, Calif.
(AP Photo/Scott Marshall)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Twins are -135 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Reds / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | RDTV

The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-135) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Reds are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 12-8 ATS.

Reds vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-2, 5.95 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 3-0, 1.25 ERA

Reds vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -200O 8 -115+110
Twins -1.5 +165U 8 -105-135

Reds vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Twins and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+12.55 Units / 139% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Kreidler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+23.00 Units / 575% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.20 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 12-8 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 4.44% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 21.69% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 12-8 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 5.03% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 16.24% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.23% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -9.32% ROI

Twins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +375
Eugenio Suarez +450
Sal Stewart +500
Matt Wallner +525
Ryan Jeffers +525

Twins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Sal Stewart 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Luke Keaschall 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
TJ Friedl 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Twins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Steer 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
TJ Friedl 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Sal Stewart 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Victor Caratini 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Reds are 6-2 (.750) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds are 11-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Reds are just 8-56 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 5-69 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Twins are just 4-78 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Reds are batting just .164 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .309 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .607 (548 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .276 against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Reds vs Twins and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.