Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 21

Arizona Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll plays during the first inning of a baseball game, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
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The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-200) on May 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 19-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 30-17 ATS.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Zach Agnos 0-0, 5.59 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 4-1, 2.55 ERA

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -115O 9.5 -120+165
Diamondbacks -1.5 -105U 9.5 +100-200

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • T.J. Rumfield has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jorge Barrosa has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jose Fernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+1.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 26-24 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -4.64% ROI).

  • 19-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.9% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -10.5% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 1.37% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 30-17 against the Run Line (+8.5 Units / 12.57% ROI).

  • 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 4.92% ROI
  • 25-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 3.77% ROI
  • 21-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -11.95% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Hunter Goodman +333
Corbin Carroll +360
Ketel Marte +375
Mickey Moniak +525
Nolan Arenado +600

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Willi Castro 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Adrian Del Castillo 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Troy Johnston 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 19-31 (.380) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.

The Rockies are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Rockies are just 18-24 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Diamondbacks are just 79-21 (.790) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Diamondbacks are just 87-15 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Diamondbacks are 7-84 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Rockies hitters have struck out in 30% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Rockies are batting just .205 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 5.1 against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .276 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .337 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

9% of Diamondbacks’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (157/1,777 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 505.5 feet — — longest in MLB

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .277 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.