Rockies vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 10

FILE - Philadelphia Phillies' Brandon Marsh hits a home run during the eighth inning of Game 3 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Atlanta Braves Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023, in Philadelphia. Brandon Marsh underwent successful left knee arthroscopic debridement surgery with Dr. Steven Cohen in Philadelphia, Friday morning Feb. 9, 2024. It is anticipated he will return to playing in three to four weeks and be ready to play opening day.(AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)
(AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
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  • The Phillies are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
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The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on May 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rockies are 16-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 10-30 ATS.

Rockies vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 3-2, 3.44 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 3-2, 2.41 ERA

Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +115O 8.5 -118+240
Phillies -1.5 -140U 8.5 -102-300

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+18.00 Units / 450% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tomoyuki Sugano has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jordan Beck has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+19.50 Units / 244% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.80 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+2.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 22-18 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 2.14% ROI).

  • 16-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 6.75% ROI
  • 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -9.84% ROI
  • 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.11% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 10-30 against the Run Line (-22.6 Units / -49.45% ROI).

  • 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -18.79% ROI
  • 22-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 10.06% ROI
  • 16-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -18.06% ROI

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Rockies are just 15-18 (.455) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rockies are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Rockies are just 16-24 (.400) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

The Phillies are just 5-20 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Phillies are just 3-9 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Phillies are 20-66 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Rockies hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies are batting just .189 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 39% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .617 (647 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .277 (647 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .213 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .228 (795 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (171.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 4.80 (354.1 IP) this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 24 double plays in 309 opportunities (8%) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed 56 home runs this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 19 double plays in 342 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.