• The Phillies are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
• Rockies vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rockies / Phillies TV Channel: ROTV | NSPA

The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on May 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rockies are 16-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 9-30 ATS.

Rockies vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 1-3, 5.04 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 2-3, 5.11 ERA

Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rockies vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+20.00 Units / 500% ROI)
• Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.95 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jake McCarthy has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
• Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 60% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.05 Units / 60% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+8.10 Units / 101% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.10 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 22-17 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 5.03% ROI).

• 16-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 9.49% ROI
• 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -12.41% ROI
• 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 2.69% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 9-30 against the Run Line (-23.75 Units / -53.13% ROI).

• 17-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -21.16% ROI
• 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 8% ROI
• 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -15.94% ROI

Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Rockies are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Rockies are just 26-75 (.257) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .459.

The Rockies are just 55-113 (.327) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies are just 7-14 (.333) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Phillies are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

The Phillies are just 17-20 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Phillies are just 3-9 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have struck out in 30% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 40% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.5 against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

16% of Phillies’ plate appearances have been three-ball counts (165/1,028 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have drawn walks in 8% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .333 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (171.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .447 this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have 39 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 19 double plays in 336 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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