• The Mets are -155 favorites vs the Royals
• Royals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Royals / Mets TV Channel: RYTV | SNY

The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-155) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Royals are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.

Royals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 3-6, 4.22 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 2-1, 3.49 ERA

Royals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Royals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 away games (+3.15 Units / 18% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Royals are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Royals are just 34-44 (.436) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Royals are just 4-33 (.108) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Royals are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Mets are just 33-46 (.418) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 6-22 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Mets are just 19-24 (.442) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Mets are just 11-49 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters are slugging just .357 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .228 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 41% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .371 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .620 (1,056 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .614 (841 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .231 (1,798 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .379 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 73 double plays in 642 opportunities (11%) this season — best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 639 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 153 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Royals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.