- The Royals are -102 favorites vs the Pirates
- Royals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Pirates TV Channel: RYTV | SNPT
The Kansas City Royals (-102) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-118) on September 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Royals are 67-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 74-76 ATS.
Royals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 9-8, 3.83 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 8-9, 4.29 ERA
Royals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -105 | -102 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -115 | -118 |
Royals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+17.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
- Carter Jensen has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+16.90 Units / 169% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 73-75 against the Run Line (-21.4 Units / -10.06% ROI).
- 67-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.9 Units / -11.05% ROI
- 67-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.65 Units / -13.36% ROI
- 82-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.95 Units / 5.29% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 74-76 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -4.1% ROI).
- 77-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 79-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 2.53% ROI
- 68-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.5 Units / -10.94% ROI
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Royals are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Royals are just 67-87 (.435) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Royals are just 64-72 (.471) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Royals are just 9-49 (.155) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Pirates are just 6-37 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 20-124 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 24-99 (.195) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 13-80 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 43% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Royals hitters are slugging just .365 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .663 (2,986 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .339 (4,084 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .349 (2,930 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .271 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .254 this season — 5th best in MLB.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Royals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 123 double plays in 1,088 opportunities (11%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Pirates have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates have allowed 4.96 runs per game (377/76) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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