Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

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  • The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Yankees TV Channel: RYTV | YES

The Kansas City Royals (+154) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Royals are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 8-11 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 2-0, 0.43 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 2-1, 2.49 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -145O 8 -105+154
Yankees -1.5 +120U 8 -115-190

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Carter Jensen has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+18.80 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-9 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -5.75% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -30.6% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -39.72% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 31.72% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 8-11 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -8.62% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -21.04% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -9.16% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +200
Giancarlo Stanton +325
Ben Rice +350
Trent Grisham +390
Jazz Chisholm Jr. +400

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan India 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Ryan McMahon 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Trent Grisham 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 7-12 (.368) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Royals were 34-8 (.810) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Royals are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 49-22 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Royals (29th in runs scored).

Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters had an OPS of just .892 (1,140 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .369 (359 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .457 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.7 MPH in the 2025 season (4,135 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

The Royals have allowed 2.16 runs per game (41/19) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.33 runs per game (21/9) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.