• The Guardians are -170 favorites vs the Tigers
• Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-170) on September 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are 65-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 66-76 ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Jackson Jobe 1-2, 4.57 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 13-7, 3.81 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.35 Units / 69% ROI)
• Dillon Dingler has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.30 Units / 56% ROI)
• Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Gavin Williams has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 66-71 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -4.54% ROI).

• 65-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.2 Units / -13.27% ROI
• 61-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.35 Units / -13.63% ROI
• 75-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.35 Units / 5.36% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 66-76 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -8.53% ROI).

• 72-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -4.23% ROI
• 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -9.33% ROI
• 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.16% ROI

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 58-36 (.617) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 54-18 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 67-124 (.351) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Guardians are 118-10 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Guardians are 18-12 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Guardians are 40-5 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 62% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .985 (1,094 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .227 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .349 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .371 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .692 (3,751 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .243 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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