• The Mets are -170 favorites vs the Tigers
• Tigers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Tigers / Mets TV Channel: DSN | SNY | ESUN

The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-170) on May 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Tigers are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.

Tigers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 2-2, 3.21 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 1-2, 2.78 ERA

Tigers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Tigers vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 59% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 31% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games (+19.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 20% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Tigers are just 1-8 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

The Tigers are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Tigers are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Tigers are just 14-6 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Mets are just 10-4 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Mets are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets are just 16-22 (.421) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Mets are just 8-12 (.400) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have 34 extra-base hits out of 81 total hits (42%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .415 (785 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .171 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .203 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .276 (424 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Tigers pitchers have allowed 34 home runs this season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 65% of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 10 home runs at home this season — fewest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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