Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 6

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton celebrates towards the dugout after hitting a single that scores two runs against the Athletics during the sixth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 3, 2025, in West Sacramento, Calif.
(AP Photo/Scott Marshall)
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  • The Tigers are +105 favorites vs the Twins
  • Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Tigers / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on April 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Tigers are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 4-5 ATS.

Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-0, 1.50 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 0-1, 5.00 ERA

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+9.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+10.62 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 76 of their last 142 games (+10.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 95 games (+16.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 119 games (+4.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 4-5 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -5.34% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -16.53% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.52% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-5 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -24.07% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Tigers are 89-14 (.864) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.

The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Twins were just 70-73 (.490) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .429 (34 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters do not have an extra-base hit out of 6 total hits against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .194 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .126 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OBP of just .121 (33 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.24 (466.1 IP) against division opponents in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.