Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 7

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton doubles during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2023, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • The Tigers are -170 favorites vs the Twins
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The Detroit Tigers (-170) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+140) on April 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Tigers are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 5-5 ATS.

Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 1-1, 0.69 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 1-0, 0.87 ERA

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Martin has hit the Walks Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Taj Bradley has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+10.62 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 76 of their last 142 games (+10.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 95 games (+16.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 119 games (+4.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 4-6 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -5.34% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -16.53% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.52% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 5-5 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -24.07% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Tigers are 82-1 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .957.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 21-80 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .222 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers batted .265 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .356 (88 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .081 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.