Twins vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 30

Houston Astros shortstop Jeremy Pena pops out during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the New York Mets Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025, in Port St. Lucie, Fla.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
Sportsbook PromosNew Player Offer
  • The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Astros
  • Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Twins / Astros TV Channel: TWTV | SCHN

The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-105) on June 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Twins are 41-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 42-45 ATS.

Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 5-4, 3.19 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 3-8, 5.49 ERA

Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +145O 8 +100-115
Astros +1.5 -175U 8 -120-105

Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Twins vs Astros and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+26.00 Units / 260% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Trammell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+18.40 Units / 368% ROI)
  • Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Joey Loperfido has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+16.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 47-39 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -2.72% ROI).

  • 41-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • 50-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.9 Units / 17.83% ROI
  • 30-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.95 Units / -26.42% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 42-45 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -8.05% ROI).

  • 42-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -4.71% ROI
  • 45-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 3.4% ROI
  • 37-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -12.84% ROI

Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +185
Yordan Alvarez +230
Kody Clemens +280
Christian Walker +310
Royce Lewis +340

Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Byron Buxton 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Josh Bell 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kody Clemens 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Kody Clemens 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nick Allen 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Josh Bell 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Twins are just 0-38 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Twins are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-27 (.229) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Astros are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Astros are just 13-19 (.406) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Twins (28th runs allowed).

The Astros are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .943.

The Twins are batting just .271 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .224 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 52% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting .288 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 259 extra-base hits out of 707 total hits (37%) this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (351.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 1.87 runs per game (161/86) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Twins vs Astros and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.