Twins vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 26

Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz reacts after his solo home run off Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Hyun Jin Ryu during the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
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  • The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Twins / Rays TV Channel: TWTV | RATV

The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on April 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Twins are 12-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 15-11 ATS.

Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-3, 5.89 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jesse Scholtens 1-1, 2.87 ERA

Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -185O 8.5 -105+120
Rays -1.5 +150U 8.5 -115-145

Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+12.80 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 14-13 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -8.39% ROI).

  • 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -5.74% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 9.66% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -19.23% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 15-11 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 11.48% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 13.14% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 25.22% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -34.49% ROI

Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +270
Byron Buxton +300
Matt Wallner +375
Royce Lewis +400
Kody Clemens +425

Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Byron Buxton 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Luke Keaschall 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Josh Bell 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Royce Lewis 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Twins are just 6-22 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 28-35 (.444) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Rays (27th runs allowed).

The Twins are just 4-81 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Twins are just 23-87 (.209) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rays are 12-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The Rays are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Rays are 10-4 (.714) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Rays are just 75-11 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Twins are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .142 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this month (21 games) — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this month (23 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.