• The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Twins / Yankees TV Channel: TWTV | YES

The Minnesota Twins (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Twins are 42-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 39-46 ATS.

Twins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Mike Paredes 0-1, 4.27 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 2-3, 4.10 ERA

Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+17.00 Units / 212% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 62% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 51% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+17.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 30 games at home (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 48-40 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -2.66% ROI).

• 42-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -2.08% ROI
• 52-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.9 Units / 19.5% ROI
• 30-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.25 Units / -28.17% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 39-46 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.8% ROI).

• 48-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -6.32% ROI
• 39-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -9.41% ROI
• 43-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI

Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Twins are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Twins are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Twins are just 6-18 (.250) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Yankees (seventh in runs scored).

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Yankees are 30-3 (.909) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Yankees are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Yankees are 33-3 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .269 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .222 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .436 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 267 extra-base hits out of 673 total hits (40%) this season — best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.60 runs per game (241/43) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (401.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (763.2 IP) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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