• The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Twins / Yankees TV Channel: PEAC | NBCX

The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Twins are 43-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 40-47 ATS.

Twins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 5-5, 3.61 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 3-6, 4.09 ERA

Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+19.50 Units / 195% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+14.50 Units / 64% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+10.30 Units / 114% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Max Schuemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+17.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+6.65 Units / 50% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 49% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 49-41 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -2.69% ROI).

• 43-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -1.79% ROI
• 53-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.7 Units / 18.85% ROI
• 31-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.35 Units / -27.67% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 40-47 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.76% ROI).

• 49-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -6.51% ROI
• 40-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -9.39% ROI
• 44-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Twins are just 0-40 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Twins are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 7-19 (.269) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Yankees (seventh in runs scored).

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Yankees are 31-4 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Yankees are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .753.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Yankees are 34-3 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .267 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .451 in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,943 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 169 extra-base hits out of 374 total hits (45%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .432 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 274 extra-base hits out of 686 total hits (40%) this season — best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.35 (385.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (401.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (781.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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