White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 3

Houston Astros' Jose Altuve bats during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Jupiter, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
Odds Boost: Same Game Parlay
  • The Astros are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Astros TV Channel: CHSN | SCHN

The Chicago White Sox (+135) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on September 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the White Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.

White Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 4-10, 5.33 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 4-3, 3.34 ERA

White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -155O 8.5 -118+135
Astros -1.5 +125U 8.5 -102-165

White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tristan Peters has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+30.50 Units / 305% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+18.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+17.75 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 away games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.65 Units / 37% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are 23-25 (.479) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 52-3 (.945) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 61-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 85-59 (.590) after a loss since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 126 extra-base hits out of 320 total hits (39%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 66 extra-base hits out of 135 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The White Sox are 43-19 (.694) against the run line (24.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Astros (10th in runs scored).

White Sox hitters have grounded into 63 double plays in 1,001 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Astros have scored first in just 39% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 155 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (347.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.12 runs per game (437/140) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.