- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Astros TV Channel: PEAC | NBCS
The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on September 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 5:00 pm in Houston, TX.
This season, the White Sox are 85-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 84-79 ATS.
White Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 11-7, 3.34 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 6-4, 3.18 ERA
White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -110 | +125 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -110 | -150 |
White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+19.00 Units / 380% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+16.80 Units / 83% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+16.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+13.90 Units / 154% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 91-69 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 3.41% ROI).
- 85-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 6.09% ROI
- 93-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.05 Units / 10.07% ROI
- 68-93 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.55 Units / -19.25% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 84-79 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.42% ROI).
- 81-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -6.38% ROI
- 80-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.06% ROI
- 72-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.7 Units / -8.82% ROI
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The White Sox are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The White Sox are 46-32 (.590) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB.
The White Sox are just 155-104 (.598) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 70-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.
The Astros are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 144-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 151 extra-base hits out of 378 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
White Sox hitters have 75 extra-base hits out of 155 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
White Sox hitters have grounded into 73 double plays in 1,175 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.
White Sox hitters are slugging .611 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Astros hitters are slugging .424 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Astros hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 181 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
The Astros are batting .246 with two outs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
White Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (4,095 batted balls) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH this season (4,095 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Astros have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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