White Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

Arizona Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll plays during the first inning of a baseball game, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
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  • The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • White Sox / Diamondbacks TV Channel: CHSN | DBTV

The Chicago White Sox (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on April 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the White Sox are 9-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 18-6 ATS.

White Sox vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 3-1, 2.19 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 4-0, 2.78 ERA

White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -175O 9 -120+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +145U 9 +100-155

White Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+21.30 Units / 355% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Edgar Quero has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the RBIs Over in his last 6 away games (+9.90 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+26.50 Units / 379% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Jose Fernandez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.68 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 11-13 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -24.36% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -10.79% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.1 Units / 26.89% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -36.74% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 18-6 against the Run Line (+10.55 Units / 30.8% ROI).

  • 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 21.01% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 23.68% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -31.3% ROI

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +310
Ketel Marte +425
Colson Montgomery +475
Corbin Carroll +475
Adrian Del Castillo +600

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ketel Marte 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adrian Del Castillo 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Jose Fernandez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The White Sox are just 88-41 (.682) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The White Sox are just 63-7 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The White Sox are just 51-126 (.288) on the road since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The White Sox are just 55-18 (.753) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Diamondbacks are just 77-15 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are 3-5 (.375) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Diamondbacks are just 70-20 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .466 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .717 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .413 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 48% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 11% of the time since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.