Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 24

Houston Astros relief pitcher Steven Okert looks on after earning the save in a 2-1 win in the 12th inning against the Seattle Mariners in a baseball game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Astros
  • Yankees vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Yankees / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | YES

The New York Yankees (-145) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+120) on April 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Yankees are 16-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 10-16 ATS.

Yankees vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 2-0, 2.49 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 1-1, 6.20 ERA

Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +115O 9 -110-145
Astros +1.5 -140U 9 -110+120

Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+12.35 Units / 206% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+17.25 Units / 192% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+8.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+1.65 Units / 10% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 14-11 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 20.37% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -2.05% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -23.26% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 14.26% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 10-16 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -20.29% ROI).

  • 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -29.88% ROI
  • 18-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 29.98% ROI
  • 8-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -41.22% ROI

Astros vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +210
Yordan Alvarez +275
Giancarlo Stanton +325
Ben Rice +340
Christian Walker +375

Astros vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Aaron Judge 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jose Altuve 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Christian Walker 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Astros vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Caballero 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Carlos Correa 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Austin Wells 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Daniel Johnson 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jose Altuve 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Yankees are 52-41 (.559) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Yankees are 10-1 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .764.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Astros are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Astros were 56-7 (.889) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Astros are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Astros were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Yankees hitters slugged .458 on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .457 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .904 (169 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of 1.123 (60 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros batted .253 with two outs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.00 runs per game (24/12) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .250 (224 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 1.79 (105.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.88 runs per game (101/26) in the first 5 innings this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.16 (172.1 IP) this month (20 games) — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.