Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 25

Houston Astros shortstop Jeremy Pena pops out during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the New York Mets Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025, in Port St. Lucie, Fla.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Astros
  • Yankees vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Yankees / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | YES

The New York Yankees (-150) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+125) on April 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.

Yankees vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 1-2, 3.22 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 1-3, 6.76 ERA

Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +110O 9 +100-150
Astros +1.5 -130U 9 -120+125

Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+15.85 Units / 226% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+16.25 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+14.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games at home (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Yankees are 3-6 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Yankees are just 6-7 (.462) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Astros (29th runs allowed).

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Astros are 30-22 (.577) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Yankees (ninth in runs scored).

The Astros are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Astros are just 2-10 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Astros are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .783 (3,741 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .782 (7,220 PA’s) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .686 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .452 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .431 (116 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .358 (520 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have put 45% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

The Astros are batting .337 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 1.67 (54.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .253 (233 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 1.83 runs per game (11/6) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.97 (235.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.93 runs per game (106/27) in the first 5 innings this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.35 (181.1 IP) this month (21 games) — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.