• The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Yankees vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Yankees / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | YES

The New York Yankees (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on September 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Yankees are 89-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 79-71 ATS.

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 10-6, 3.89 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-0, 5.88 ERA

Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+14.80 Units / 296% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jordan Lawlar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+23.00 Units / 288% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 45% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 56% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+14.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 78-75 against the Run Line (+12.9 Units / 7.39% ROI).

• 89-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -1.27% ROI
• 70-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.3 Units / -10.19% ROI
• 79-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 1.27% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 79-71 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -1.83% ROI).

• 81-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 3.33% ROI
• 66-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.35 Units / -14.82% ROI
• 83-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.85 Units / 6.38% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Yankees are 53-7 (.883) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 38-4 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 5-53 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 17-20 (.459) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Diamondbacks are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 67-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,845 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .230 (3,142 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 59% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

The Diamondbacks are batting .274 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .438 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,622 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (708.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.39 runs per game (271/80) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (1379.1 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have won 44% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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